The Patient Investor

Five Behavioral Finance Resolutions for a Better Financial Year

As the old year has drawn to a close and a new is just beginning, millions of Americans will once again make New Year’s resolutions.

For many, these resolutions focus on health or wealth, and when it comes to financial resolutions, the usual suspects tend to surface: spend less, save more and pay down debt.

These are, of course, worthwhile goals.

But this year, consider adding another set of resolutions that go beyond budgeting and focus on the behavioral tendencies that shape—and sometimes sabotage—financial decision-making. In the year ahead, consider the following behavioral resolutions to help you make sound financial choices.

Keep Emotions in Check

Emotions often move faster than logic. They can override rational thinking and push you toward decisions that may feel good in the moment but undermine long-term financial health. This year, resolve to take emotion out of investing.

Separating feelings from financial choices can help you sidestep several potentially damaging behavioral biases, including loss aversion. This is the tendency for investors to fear losses more than they value gains. This bias can lead to panic selling in volatile markets, potentially causing you to lock in losses and miss market rebounds. Alternatively, it could cause you to hold onto losing positions far too long, making you unwilling to cut your losses even when it is financially beneficial to do so.

Emotional investing can also fuel home bias, the instinct to stick with what’s familiar to you. Maybe that’s a certain company or an industry you know well. Or maybe it’s focusing on U.S. stocks to the exclusion of shares of international companies. Instead, practice viewing your investments not as extensions of your preferences or identity, but simply as the tools that are helping you reach your long-term objectives.

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The Patient Investor

Timeless Wisdom from Warren Buffett

In May, legendary investor Warren Buffett announced he will retire as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway at the age of 95. Sixty years ago, Buffett took over Berkshire Hathaway, a struggling New England textile company, and built it into a powerhouse that operates everything from insurance companies to household brands like Duracell batteries.

Along the way, he became known as the “Oracle of Omaha” due to his reputation for carefully identifying undervalued companies and sticking with them for the long haul. It’s a strategy that has served him well. Today, he is the sixth richest person in the world with a net worth of about $154 billion.

Throughout his career, Buffett has shared some of the secrets to his success, often through his famed—and frequently funny—shareholder letters. Below are some of our favorite insights that continue to guide investors of all kinds.

Navigating Fear and Greed

“Occasional outbreaks of those two super-contagious diseases, fear and greed, will forever occur in the investment community…We never try to anticipate the arrival or departure of either disease. Our goal is more modest: we simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.”

Investing is carried out by people, and people are emotional. As a result, human behavior plays a huge role in the movements of markets. The powerful impulses toward fear and greed can lead investors to hop in and out of the market en masse, often to their detriment. Buffett warns us to be wary when investors are “greedy,” as they can push prices up—sometimes unsustainably—leading to a crash. Similarly, when investors are fearful, they may miss out on powerful opportunities to invest in bargains during a market downturn.

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The Patient Investor

Equity Compensation: Big Opportunity or Risk?

We all like hearing that we’re good at our jobs. It’s nice when kudos from your employer come bundled with dollar signs. At times, a company may value you so much that it offers you a piece of the pie in the form of equity compensation.

A small slice of equity compensation can give you a meaningful boost in your income. A bigger slice might offer a more significant—maybe even life-changing—financial windfall. Or not. Luck plays an important role. But it’s also important to manage your equity compensation by balancing its potential risks and rewards. Understanding the details of your equity stake and how it fits in with your overall financial plan can help you make the most of this added compensation. Moreover, doing so can help you avoid dangers such as concentration risk—the risk that too much of your wealth is tied up in a single stock.

Equity Compensation Basics

Equity compensation can come in lots of different forms. You might receive stock options, restricted stock units, or the ability to participate in an employee stock purchase plan. Your equity package might come with a vesting schedule, which determines how quickly you can take ownership of your shares. These vesting schedules accomplish an important goal for companies: They help keep you around longer.

Each part of your equity compensation package—from vesting rules to the types of shares you might receive—comes with a slew of caveats and fine print that are important to understand. For instance, your stock options might come with an expiration date for exercising those shares. If you miss that date, you may miss out on the opportunity to acquire company stock at a deep discount. (If the share price fails to rise to the occasion, with no discount available, you may intentionally let them expire unexercised.) There also are tax implications for your equity compensation: Understanding the ins and outs of your agreement can help you manage your tax burden and let you keep more of the equity you’ve worked so hard for.

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The Patient Investor

Reflections on the Stock Market and My Career

As the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached 40,000 on May 16, 2024, I found myself reflecting on my career and what I’ve witnessed in the U.S. stock market over the last twenty plus years.

Note: The “Dow” or Dow Jones Industrial Average is an index comprised of 30 of the largest companies in the United States stock market (such as McDonalds, Apple, and 3M).

As one of the oldest market indices, the “Dow” is often used as a proxy for how the stock market is performing.

While we believe broad diversification is prudent for investors (and that’s a whole topic itself), I’ll be focusing on the U.S. stock market here.

I began my career at Piper Jaffray in early 2000. I had just finished an MBA from the University of St. Thomas and the investment world intrigued me. Over the last several years, the markets had gone through an explosive rally, driven by the promise of the internet. Technologies were seeing their stock prices skyrocket and it seemed like everybody was jumping on board. What an exciting time to start a career in the financial world!

In one of my prior blogs entitled “Would you have fired Warren Buffett?” I discussed how Buffett underperformed during this time with some investors questioning if he was too old fashioned. Some went so far as to fire him as their investment manager.

Unfortunately, my hiring coincided with the end of the party. In what’s become known as the “tech bubble,” stocks cratered and the tech-focused NASDAQ index fell 78%. That was my first lesson in the risk of failing to diversify and chasing past returns. When a certain investment or sector gets hot, I’ve seen that play repeat itself over the years in things like individual stocks, real estate, and cryptocurrency.

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The Patient Investor

Who Is the Media?

In the past, we’ve been known to take aim at the media. That’s because there may be consequences that are not beneficial to your personal wealth if you read, watch, or listen to too much news—or if you read too much into the news you’re reading.

It’s human nature to react to the onslaught of information with fits of fear, excitement, or confusion. These emotions, in turn, may lead to counterproductive, buy high/sell low investing.

Often, the media is partially to blame for this. They know what attracts our attention. They know this is rarely the evidence-based, sensible fare investors are better off digesting daily. Many members of the press choose to pander to our junk-news cravings and prioritize their own profits over a commitment to their craft. 

Let's return to our question: Who is "the media"? We’re happy to report that not every member of the financial press is cut from the same self-serving cloth. There are financial journalists who could get away with manipulating us, but they choose not to. By understanding the difference, you may find it easier to identify who within the financial press is worth following, and who you would be best advised to “unlike."

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